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M. D'Souza

The 'Tyrant of Tehran' had thrown enough of sand into the eyes of the UN Assembly members this year, that they were all blinded by his 'charm', just as the CBS dinosaur Mike Wallace was bewitched by the Tyrant of Tehran.

Everyone in the world seems to be suffering from this 'head-in-the-sand syndrome', when it comes to the bluster emanating from Iran and the Islamic world. The Tyrant's spine-chilling speeches of wiping Israel off the map, seem to be having an anesthetic effect on the liberal world.

Actually, Iran is the hub of the axis of evil. We often see the Tyrant wearing the white and black Basiji scarf while giving his speeches. This should remind us of the death-cult introduced by Ayatollah Khomeini in the 1980s, and also the International Qods Day for Palestine that he inaugurated. Khomeini sent 12-17 year old illiterate boys, with a plastic 'made in Taiwan key to paradise' strung around their necks, to clear the mine-fields before the Revolutionary Guards were sent in to fight Saddam's forces during the Iraq-Iran war. That same death-cult is practiced by the 'Palestinian' Arabs, who send their children as suicide bombers.

In the Tyrant's recent speech, he stood beside an hour-glass with sand running down to the lower bulb. The lower bulb already had a split, US flag bearing golf ball in it. Next to roll was a golf ball bearing the Israeli flag. It is an indication that the Tyrant intends to strike the US first, so that Israel's main supporter would be knocked out beforehand. Remember how OBL's goons assassinated Masood, the leader of the Northern Alliance in Afghanistan (9/9/01), before the 9/11 attacks on the US.

Knowing the strategy of the Islamists, it is high time that action be taken against the hub of the wheel first, so that the spokes that radiate from it just fall apart.

But that's not what's going to happen as we read Ezekiel 38 and 39. They will disable the US first and then come to attack Israel (Ez.38:13).

Luigi Frascati

Good evening Mr. Freund,

I have a few comments to make respecting your post and article above.

There is no question that a forthcoming conflict will revamp in the Middle East. The question is whether in the Near Middle East (Israel and surroundings) or in the Far Middle East (Iran and surroundings).

Syrian President Bashar al-Assad can give all the speeches he wants, but the fact of the matter is that Bashar is not his father. Hafez al-Assad was a shrewd stateman and military leader, who was instrumental in setting up Hezbollah in Lebanon. By contrast, Bashar is reputedly not even in full control of his own country, mostly due to his domestic liberal and reformist ideas that have encountered a wall of opposition from the old Syrian military establishment. Because of this, likelihood is high that many of his hard-line speeches are given more with the intent of smoothening internal feuds rather than with the objective of stirring up resentment in Israel.

It is always important not to underestimate one's enemies, but it is also equally important not to overestimate them either. Which brings me on to the subject of President Mahmoud Ahmadi-Nejad. The President is not only navigating high waters with the current U.S. Administration. He seems to be increasingly at odds with his de-facto mentor and principal partner: Vladimir Putin of the Russian Federation. It appears that Iran, in fact, is sanctioning the funding and training of Chechen militia operating inside Russia from bases inside Iran besides, like you have pointed out, harboring an ever increasing number of Al-Qaeda operatives - much to the consternation and dismay of 'moderate' Arab states such as Saudi Arabia.

Additionally, his domestic economic track record is less than sparking. He has increased total spending over revenues by some 25 percent over last year, and since revenues are based on an 'estimated' oil price per barrel of USD 50 F.o.B, if price falls below this margin Iran will find itself seriously in the red, notwithstanding the fact that it is floating over an ocean of crude.

Likewise, unemployment in Iran is rampant largely due to the President's policy of 'price intervention', which sets a maximum price for many consumer goods including such big ticket items as housing and real estate. The consequence is a sharp drop in production and increased unemployment, now hovering to on or about 16 percent. Here is a comparison of the major economic indicators between Iran and Israel for yours as well as your readers' review:

Population .....................IRAN 68.3m - ISRAEL 6.7m
GDP ............................IRAN $153 bn - ISRAEL $125 bn
Inflation per annum ...........IRAN 15.8 % - ISRAEL 1.7%
Life expectancy (men) .........IRAN 69.9 - ISRAEL 78.6
Literacy ...........................IRAN 63% - ISRAEL 88.3%
Annual growth ..................IRAN 3.5% - ISRAEL 3.4%
Spending power index per person .IRAN 19 - ISRAEL 64
Unemployment .....................IRAN 15.9% - ISRAEL 10.6%

[source: World Economic Encyclopedia]

The gist of what I am saying, therefore, is that although Iran is a formidable adversary ... things were much worse in June, 1967.

Which then, coincidentally, brings me to my third and last point: that of pre-emptive strikes. A pre-emptive strike is a military attack designed to prevent or reduce the impact of an anticipated attack from an enemy. The legality of pre-emptive strikes, however, has become a particularly contentious issue during and after the US Invasion of Iraq. Dominique de Villepin, the former Moroccan-born French Foreign Minister as well as Senator John Kerry, the US Democratic Presidential Nominee have been perhaps the most spectacular opponents of pre-emptive strikes. In essence, their common critique is that if one accepts the legality of pre-emptive strikes, then one implicitly accepts the legality and justification of such acts as the pre-emptive strike of Nazi-Germany on Russia (Operation Barbarossa, June 1941), the pre-emptive strike of Imperial Japan on the United States (Pearl Harbor, December 1941), the pre-emptive strike of Stalinist Russia on Finland (August, 1941)as well as a subsequent sequel of pre-emptive strikes culminating in the pre-emprive strike of Israel on Egypt (Operation Focus, June 1967), which precipitated the Six-Day War.

The drawback of pre-emptive strikes is that they invariably eliminate all chances for peaceful settlements, and thus can be used only if the nation orchestrating the strike is ready, willing and able to go to an all-out war. The second disadvantage is that the attacker must win, lest the strike will no longer be called a pre-emptive strike but, rather, an aggression. And thus, today, we speak of Hitler's aggression on Russia, of Stalin's aggression on Finland, of Japan's aggression on the United States but we glorify Israel's pre-emptive strike on Egypt.

Incidentally and by way of a historical connotation, there was another Persian leader famous for his pre-emptive strikes: Cyrus The Great. Cyrus would set his eyes on a nation, or tribe, or state, somehow dream that they would attack him and then strike them pre-emptively. Such was the fate of Babylon, in modern Iraq. And Cyrus too, like President Ahmadi-Nejad, claimed to have been in touch with God. It must be a side effect of all the hash they smoke in the morning in that part of the world - buy I digress.

Keith Dawid

ISRAEL DO NOT DESPAIR!!REMEMBER WHAT HKBU DID TO THE PHARAOE OF EGYPT!!

Misanthrope

I truly wish agreement with Luigi Frascati; I am not so optimistic, however. Although his posting is well written and certainly thought out; I still beg to differ.
The analogy with Hitler is at time suitable and in other ways not so pliable.

Of course, there are similarities, however, within the mix; we have Islam, albeit a supposed radicalised version. This, for me, puts a different spin on this entire perilous and said deadly mix.

What better way to take the Iranians’ worries of the present economic woes; as Hitler did, one can blame the Jews. However, this rationale, or lack thereof, is where similarity falters. President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, although an irascible flake, is, if possible, more dangerous than old Adolf and his National Socialists. As psychotic and psychopathic as Hitler was, Ahmadinejad’s mental wellbeing is hanging by a thread, comparable to Hitler’s nearing the war’s end.

This, for me, is where the similarities end. There is the mid-Eastern psyche, too, which comes into play; I do not profess to be an expert; however, it differs from the West’s.

Admittedly, President Mahmoud’s overseers, the mullahs and others, may or may not play part in this scenario. To what degree, I dare not guess, a formidable one I am certain.

It is not in Israel’s best interest to go it alone with a pre-emptive strike. Nevertheless, the US’s eagle has drawn in its talons to a near placating posturing. The EU is toothless and, as always, fearful to respond with any meaningful intent. Hence, what does Israel do? Kassams are to this day, being launched into Israel… with not a peep from the UN or the aforementioned.

Inertness has crippled the West… oh, a rap on the wrist and a muttering of idle threats, which have caused Ahmadinejad to be a shrinking Violet. Indeed, not, he, this demented, pipsqueak of a tyrant senses he has nothing to lose. Honestly, as it now stands, he is right.

Therefore, if Israel must take it upon herself to make the first strike: Israel has the right to exist and the right to defend her sovereignty. If waiting for her supposed allies to have the chutzpah; it will be too late. Late for Israel; at times, I believe the world does not give a damn: so, why in G-d’s name should Israel?


Mark Johnson

Your blog is just great The contents are worth reading . Middle east issue continue to crop up again. There is also talk of upcoming war in certain quarters.

My name is Mark Johnson, and I've been visiting Fundamentally Freund
for last six months.

I’m a recent UC Berkeley Political science grad and I along with some fellow Princeton alums have been working hard to launch our own internet startup called Rizzleweb.com.
Rizzleweb is basically an online political community where people can log on and write performance reviews\comments for congressmen, senators, the president, and various other local and state officials across the country. I was hoping that if it would not be too much trouble you could place a link of our site on your blog. If this is not possible (which we completely understand), we still hope you will check out our site, and post some reviews.
Your contribution will encourage us to put more effort in improving our website.
Mark Johnson
www.Rizzleweb.com
markjohnson2020@hotmail.com

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